The number of Republicans continue to slip slightly while the number of Democrats in this country remain flat, RasmussenReports.com revealed earlier this week.Yet, despite the decline, in a generic congressional ballot, the Republicans beat the Democrats by the thinnest of margins, 40-39. The margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point. So, realistically, the actual numbers could be switched.
However, given the popularity of President Barack Obama, one would think the Democrats would enjoy a comfortable lead. They have virtually had a lock, with relatively few exceptions, on the generic congressional ballot for at least the last year-and-a-half, based on RasmussenReports.com polls.
Add to this a Republican Party that has been in disarray since the final year of President George W. Bush's second term, when he seemingly became disengaged. Somehow, Sen. John McCain, long considered a RINO (Republican in name only) managed to win the party's nomination, and he ended up running an abysmal campaign. The only bright spot of the campaign, based on the base's reaction, was the selection of Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate, and McCain seemed to never fully embrace her. (Could it be because she garnered more attention and adoration than he among the party faithful?)
The Republicans have failed to put forth a compelling and consistent message, yet despite all of their foibles, the Democrats are not pulling away in the generic poll. There has been much discussion about starting a third party among disaffected conservatives, those who think Republicans are merely Democrats-lite.
Given all of this, and the fact that there are fewer Republicans, can it be the Democrats are in for a tough 2010 election cycle?
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